The following is a guest post by Christopher Rodriguez, chief marketing and relationship management officer of Eris Exchange, and Geoffrey Sharp, Eris’ managing director and head of sales. Eris is a U.S. futures exchange that offers listed interest rate swap futures. Trading Technologies offers connectivity to Eris through both the TT® and X_TRADER® platforms.
The last 30 years of monetary policy have been dominated by control of short rates. But with an unprecedented buildup of central bank balance sheets since the global financial crisis, central banks now have another lever, and their impact on long rates cannot be ignored. Specifically, the Fed has started to signal a desire to reduce the size of its balance sheet, which could commence later this year. There is little doubt that we are in uncharted territory, with limited precedent or standard to follow, and this normalization needs to be balanced against the impact of further rate hikes and the recent apparent softening of U.S. economic data.